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	<title>Future Atlas &#187; Time&#8217;s up</title>
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	<description>The geography of the future</description>
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		<title>On &#8220;Prediction Accuracy&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2010/11/03/on-prediction-accuracy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2010/11/03/on-prediction-accuracy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Nov 2010 19:46:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/?p=487</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Journalists often write lazy articles compiling forecasts that have not come to pass, attributing them to futurists.  Real futurists always respond, &#8220;Futurists don&#8217;t make predictions!&#8221;
That is true: the goal of futurism is not to make predictions. In any case, the mockery-inducing forecasts are usually by non-futurists.  (Defensive futurists might also note that other [...]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Time&#8217;s up: French views on Iraq</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/03/18/times-up-french-views-on-iraq/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/03/18/times-up-french-views-on-iraq/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Mar 2007 04:28:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/03/18/times-up-french-views-on-iraq/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As the war in Iraq begins its fourth year, it is worth revisiting some of the views of France, which was one of the more vocal skeptics in the runup to the US invasion.
In this Washington Post article from February 11, 2003, Jacques Beltran, a French foreign policy expert, suggested that French President Jacques Chirac [...]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Times up: commentary &#8212; 10 Reasons Not to Invade Iraq</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/12/times-up-commentary-10-reasons-not-to-invade-iraq/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/12/times-up-commentary-10-reasons-not-to-invade-iraq/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Feb 2007 01:51:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/12/times-up-commentary-10-reasons-not-to-invade-iraq/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Written four years ago today, on February 12, 2003, the month before the invasion.
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;
My job as a strategic analyst is to think about the future.  I have never been more worried for America.
Colin Powell’s recent speech to the UN rehashed the reasons to invade Iraq, but ignored all the reasons not to.
Here are 10 [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/12/times-up-commentary-10-reasons-not-to-invade-iraq/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Time&#8217;s up: being right on Iraq</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/10/times-up-being-right-on-iraq/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/10/times-up-being-right-on-iraq/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2007 20:17:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/02/10/times-up-being-right-on-iraq/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The WP discusses some of the people who have proved correct about what was to come in Iraq.
The what-next question is not pursued&#8211;though people voice misgivings about the direction of US Iran policy&#8211;except in two cases.
Retired Marine General Anthony Zinni is said to feel that an American withdrawal would destabilize the region, but the article [...]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Kirkpatrick&#8217;s erroneous forecast</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/10/kirkpatricks-erroneous-forecast/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/10/kirkpatricks-erroneous-forecast/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Dec 2006 03:54:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/10/kirkpatricks-erroneous-forecast/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Neoconservative Cold Warrior Jeane Kirkpatrick has died.
She came to prominence on the basis of a forecast: that right-wing regimes could be supported because they can evolve into democracies, while communist countries never could.
Despite the fact that this theory had already been proven false in instances such as the Czechoslovak Prague Spring, and that it seemed [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/10/kirkpatricks-erroneous-forecast/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Revisiting Iraq forecasts</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/08/revisiting-iraq-forecasts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/08/revisiting-iraq-forecasts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Dec 2006 03:53:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/12/08/revisiting-iraq-forecasts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Paul Krugman reviews some forecasts by people who got Iraq right:
Former President George H. W. Bush and Brent Scowcroft, explaining in 1998 why they didn’t go on to Baghdad in 1991: “Had we gone the invasion route, the United States could conceivably still be an occupying power in a bitterly hostile land.”
Representative Ike Skelton, September [...]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Time&#8217;s up: Iraq prospects on March 15, 2003</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/17/times-up-iraq-prospects-on-march-15-2003/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/17/times-up-iraq-prospects-on-march-15-2003/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Mar 2006 04:02:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/?p=18</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Commentary written by FutureAtlas.com author Josh Calder on March 15, 2003, a few days before the American-led invasion of Iraq began:

At the Mercy of Iraqis
If the United States invades Iraq, the Bush administration will be placing American prestige in the hands of the Iraqi people.  Ironically, we may soon be at their mercy.
The reason is [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/17/times-up-iraq-prospects-on-march-15-2003/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Time&#8217;s up: Iraq three years later</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/17/times-up-iraq-three-years-later/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/03/17/times-up-iraq-three-years-later/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Mar 2006 03:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time's up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/?p=17</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Media-observing organization FAIR has compiled a list of media figures who failed to grasp the reality of Iraq, and its likely future trajectory.  FAIR takes a cue from columnist Cal Thomas:
&#8220;All of the printed and voiced prophecies should be saved in an archive.  When these false prophets again appear, they can be reminded of the [...]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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