Technology



Published December 31st, 2007 by Future Atlas

Synthetic life: security implications

bacteriaThe Washington Post recently detailed developments in synthetic life: microorganisms guided by completely artificial DNA.

While there are many upsides — artificial organisms might be able to produce cheap biofuels and high-tech chemicals — this technology also has potentially dire security implications.

A biotech watchdog organization, the ETC Group, put it this way:

Ultimately synthetic biology means cheaper and widely accessible tools to build bioweapons, virulent pathogens and artificial organisms that could pose grave threats to people and the planet.

Unlike nuclear weapons, this would not require a vast state-run program. Says the article,

the technology is quickly becoming so simple, experts say, that it will not be long before “bio hackers” working in garages will be downloading genetic programs and making them into novel life forms.

In other words, small groups and even individuals could create immensely dangerous pathogens. (See the movie “Twelve Monkeys” for one such scenario.)

Researchers say that fully artificial cells might be achieved within a year.

Image: NIH

Published July 9th, 2006 by Future Atlas

Third World: trend — spreading mobile phones

The Washington Post reports on the spread of mobile telephony in Africa, taking Congo as its example.

That mobile phones are spreading even in the disaster area that is Congo is telling; if they can be deployed there, they will go everywhere, given that Congo has “almost no roads, mail or telephone system” and is in the midst of a chaotic war.

Mobile phones achieve several immediate goals:

  • They allow rapid communication, sometimes replacing extreme difficulty. The article cites a man who previously had to journey eight days by riverboat to see his mother, and now talks to her on the phone every day.
  • They enable e-commerce, or more technically m-commerce. African phones are increasingly equippped with the ability to transfer money and pay merchants.
  • Mobiles bring efficiencies to commerce, potentially boosting economic activity.

Mobiles also have several larger effects:

  • Information speed — They vastly speed up information flows. In a place like Congo, they supplement sparse broadcast media with millions of person-to-person information nodes.
  • Information decentralization — As information accelerates, it also decentralizes, with a variety of social and political effects. The classic Third World coup-starter, seizing the radio and TV stations, will have less and less meaning.
  • Leapfrogging — Mobiles enable leapfrogging over other technologies, from broadcast TV to fixed-line phones and even the Internet. The Post notes that Congo now has 3.2 million mobile customers, compared to only 20,000 land lines. Mobiles can help begin to close the information devide that grew steadily wider between developed and developing world over the last century.

Mobiles will be particularly transformative in Africa, the least-wired of all regions. They are actually growing fastest here now, and have 152 million users on the continent, the Post says. (This probably includes North Africa, but growth seems to be faster in sub-Saharan.)

Published April 27th, 2006 by Future Atlas

New global e-readiness rankings

The Economist Intelligence Unit released its 2006 e-readiness rankings yesterday. The index is a measure of a country’s readiness for e-business, judged by Internet access, broadband penetration, innovation, information security, and other factors. More telling than the ranking is the country’s distance from a score of 10.

The ratings are a good indicator of general abilities in IT, and thus an important component of present and future competitiveness.

The top countries

Rank. Country — score out of 10 (2005 rank)

1. Denmark — 9.00 (1)
2. US — 8.88 (2)
3. Switzerland — 8.81 (4)
4. Sweden — 8.74 (3)
5. UK — 8.64 (5)
6. Netherlands — 8.60 (8)
7. Finland — 8.55 (6)
8. Australia — 8.50 (10)
9. Canada — 8.37 (12)
10. Hong Kong — 8.36 (6)
11. Norway — 8.35 (9)
12. Germany — 8.34 (12)
13. Singapore — 8.24 (11)
14. New Zealand — 8.19 (16)
14. Austria — 8.19 (14)
16. Ireland — 8.09 (15)
17. Belgium — 7.99 (17)
18. South Korea — 7.90 (18)
19. France — 7.86 (19)

Other countries of interest

Rank. Country — score out of 10 (2005 rank)

21. Japan — 7.77 (21)
22. Israel — 7.59 (20)
23. Taiwan — 7.51 (22)
25. Italy — 7.14 (24)
30. United Arab Emirates — 6.32 (X)
31. Chile — 6.19 (31)
35. South Africa — 5.74 (32)
37. Malaysia — 5.60 (35)
39. Mexico — 5.30 (36)
41. Brazil — 5.29 (38)
42. Argentina — 5.27 (39)
45. Turkey — 4.77 (43)
46. Saudi Arabia — 4.67 (46)
48. Venezuela — 4.47 (45)
49. Romania — 4.44 (47)
51. Colombia — 4.41 (48)
52. Russia — 4.30 (52)
53. India — 4.25 (49)
55. Egypt — 4.14 (53)
56. Philippines — 4.04 (51)
57. China — 4.02 (54)
60. Nigeria — 3.69 (58)
61. Ukraine — 3.62 (57)
62. Indonesia — 3.39 (60)
64. Kazakhstan — 3.22 (62)
65. Iran — 3.15 (59)
67. Pakistan — 3.03 (64)

Regional standouts in the developing world are Chile, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates. The low scores of some countries, notably India, China, and Russia, disguise significant specialized capabilities in infotech.