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	<title>Future Atlas &#187; War</title>
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	<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog</link>
	<description>The geography of the future</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 19 Jan 2012 16:12:41 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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			<item>
		<title>What Are People Afraid Of?</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2012/01/19/what-are-people-afraid-of/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2012/01/19/what-are-people-afraid-of/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jan 2012 16:12:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[North America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/?p=823</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Polling suggests many Americans fear these things:


Their children&#8217;s life will be worse than their own (28%, 2011 Kaiser-Washington Post poll)
The American economy is in long-term decline (63%, 2008 Washington Post)

Global warming is a very or somewhat serious problem (65%, 2009 Pew poll)
The 21st century will be more Chinese than American (41%, 2010 Washington Post poll)
Another [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2012/01/19/what-are-people-afraid-of/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Killer Micro Drones</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2010/01/09/killer-micro-drones/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2010/01/09/killer-micro-drones/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Jan 2010 13:37:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[counterinsurgency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MAVs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UAVs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/?p=394</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wired reports that the Air Force is developing tiny, armed drones.
The articles quotes a military document reporting the development of &#8220;a Micro-Air Vehicle (MAV) with innovative seeker/tracking sensor algorithms that can engage maneuvering high-value targets.”  Such a system could allow precision and stealth, with small charges replacing relatively indiscriminate munitions such as the Hellfire [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2010/01/09/killer-micro-drones/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Friedman&#8217;s Next 100 Years</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/20/friedmans-next-100-years/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/20/friedmans-next-100-years/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Oct 2009 06:54:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/20/friedmans-next-100-years/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Io9 has a useful review of George Friedman&#8217;s The Next 100 Years.
We&#8217;re in for the return of Cold War politics, the rise of new dominant powers, and a full-blown space war, according to a new book. What are the chances his dire predictions will come true?
In the details, the chances are virtually nil, of course. [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/20/friedmans-next-100-years/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>An End to War?</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/16/an-end-to-war/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/16/an-end-to-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2009 11:53:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/16/an-end-to-war/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Radiolab recently asked the question, &#8220;Will humans ever stop fighting wars once and for all?&#8221;  Passerby confronted with this query were skeptical, citing &#8220;human nature.&#8221;
Now, &#8220;once and for all&#8221; is an extreme criterion, but most people seem to take the question to mean, &#8220;Is peace possible?  Might wars stop?&#8221;  And a variety [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2009/10/16/an-end-to-war/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Future conflict: France</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/09/30/future-conflict-france/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/09/30/future-conflict-france/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2007 21:10:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/09/30/future-conflict-france/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recent bellicose remarks by French officials underline that one of the more likely future wars for France (and most other Western military powers) is war with Iran.
It remains to be seen, however, whether there are any viable military options for those attempting to block a nuclear path by Iran.
]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2007/09/30/future-conflict-france/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The future of Cuba: six scenarios</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/08/01/the-future-of-cuba-six-scenarios/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/08/01/the-future-of-cuba-six-scenarios/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Aug 2006 02:43:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cuba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Latin America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/08/01/the-future-of-cuba-six-scenarios/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With Fidel Castro seriously ill, it is worth considering the diverse scenarios that could unfold for a post-Castro Cuba.


SCENARIOS


FIDELISMO WITHOUT FIDEL
Cuba’s current communist system persists.


Probability – Medium


Trajectory – Without Castro, would tend to transition toward the China Option or Normal Cuba scenarios.


Drivers:



Cuba’s system is pervasive and generally competent.
US antagonism makes the defiance of the current [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/08/01/the-future-of-cuba-six-scenarios/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Iran: scenario &#8212; the Great War of 2007</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-the-great-war-of-2007/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-the-great-war-of-2007/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Jul 2006 17:53:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WMD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-the-great-war-of-2007/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Writing in The Telegraph, historian Niall Ferguson attempts to make the case for immediate military action against Iran via a future scenario perspective.
His scenario includes these ideas:

It would not be difficult to stop Iran&#8217;s nuclear program with preventive airstrikes.
This is a repeat of the history of the 1930s, with a dictator arming for war.
Iran will [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-the-great-war-of-2007/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Iran: scenario &#8212; US attack leads to global disaster</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-us-attack-leads-to-global-disaster/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-us-attack-leads-to-global-disaster/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Jul 2006 16:08:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Discontinuity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-us-attack-leads-to-global-disaster/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[John Robb at Global Guerrillas argues that a US attack on Iran could have far-reaching consequences, in three waves:

Instability intensifies in Iraq and the Persian Gulf, and oil prices spike.
American targets are hit by terrorist attacks around the world. US forces in Iraq are forced to withdraw. The US falls into political crisis. &#8220;Radical reductions&#8221; [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/07/16/iran-scenario-us-attack-leads-to-global-disaster/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Iraq: redeploying or bugging out?</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/17/iraq-redeploying-or-bugging-out/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/17/iraq-redeploying-or-bugging-out/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jun 2006 20:50:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/17/iraq-redeploying-or-bugging-out/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Amidst real costs and fantasies of defeat (and some fantasies of victory), a movement is growing among American liberals to &#8220;redeploy&#8221; American troops out of Iraq.
There are a number of reasons that the idea is worth considering:

The Iraq war has undermined the war on terror &#8212; 87% of top foreign policy experts agreed that it [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/17/iraq-redeploying-or-bugging-out/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Query: invading Iran</title>
		<link>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/13/query-invading-iran/</link>
		<comments>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/13/query-invading-iran/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jun 2006 02:38:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Future Atlas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/13/query-invading-iran/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A reader asks:
I’m wondering if perhaps the key to a turnaround in the Middle East would be for some sort of massive joint action — like a Saudi/Egypt/U.S./Iraq anti-Iranian ground war or something? I’m certainly not recommending this, but if Iran does become only a military option…?
In anything like the present situation, no one but [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.futureatlas.com/blog/index.php/2006/06/13/query-invading-iran/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
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