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Canada: Scenarios: North American Union

 

 

Canada, the United States, and Mexico unite in a European Union-style quasi-state.

 

 

Drivers

·         This could be a natural outcome for economic and cultural convergence of the three nations, and would help with the demographic problems Canada and the US face.

 

Counterforces

·         Despite this scenario being something of a bugaboo for the US right-wing fringe, there is simply no constituency trying to bring this about, and it has no support among the elites of the three countries.

·         Mexico is too economically and culturally dissimilar to fit well with its North American neighbors, and even the US and Canada are unlikely to join.

 

 

 

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