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The Future of Canada |
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Future Atlas blog: Canada |
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Canada: International conflict |
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Though
Canada is currently a low-level participant in Afghanistan’s civil war, its
risk of future international conflict is generally very low.
·
Iran—Iran’s equivocal pursuit of nuclear
capabilities could lead to a confrontation with an international coalition
that included Canada. ·
Russia—Canada and Russia face each other
across the Arctic, and Russia has begun to reassert its interest in the
region as it recovers from the Soviet collapse. The importance of the Arctic could grow if
climate change makes its energy and other resources more accessible, and this
may happen in conjunction with an increasingly capable Russia. ·
China—China’s global power and reach
will rise in the next few decades, and in some scenarios this could bring it
into conflict with other Pacific powers or regional alliances such as NATO. ·
Quebec—Less-probable separation scenarios could result
in violence. For instance, First
Nations might seek to remain in Canada and end up in confrontation with
Quebec, drawing Canada in. ·
United States—Points of collision—such as
Arctic navigation—are only likely to result in violence in the event of a
drastic shift in the nature of their relationship. An extremist American regime—perhaps
authoritarian “Christian”—is the most likely path to such a change, but is
very low-probability. Graphic
copyright FutureAtlas.com—usable with attribution and link |
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Copyright 2008 FutureAtlas.com